Jeroen Blokland / True Insights Investment Research

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Real Rates above 2%? Buy Bonds and Sell Equities
Using a small data sample, as elevated real yields have become increasingly scarce, US 10-year real yields of 2% or more favor Treasuries over Equities…
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True Insights
The Weekly Market Monitor – Immaculate disinflation, spiking yields, and the waiting continues
Inflation is collapsing and even turned negative in the Netherlands. Yet, bond yields continue to spike, providing ample downside risk for equities.
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True Insights
Homebuilder Sentiment is Fun for MACRO Tourists, not for Predicting Returns
During housing market crises, it's 'fun' to watch US homebuilder sentiment, but be aware it cannot be used to forecast homebuilder returns.
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True Insights
An Opportunistic Currency Trade
We initiate a long JPY short USD trade idea as the USDJPY exchange rate approaches 150
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True Insights
The Weekly Market Monitor – Are Central Banks finally Breaking Sentiment?
One-and-a-half hawkish central bank pauses spooked equity investors, who are running out of narratives to keep stocks from falling.
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Goodbye to Fed hopium, hello central bank upside!
Now that markets are embracing the 'higher for longer' narrative, future upside has emerged as the Fed will not be able to keep rates above the natural…
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True Insights
Understanding Oil Price Shocks: What to Expect from Asset Class Returns?
Oil price shocks push inflation higher and favor Gold as an asset class, but unlike what many believe, are not bad news for Equities!
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True Insights
The latest IMF study on Inflation calls for even more rate hikes!
Based on an analysis of 100 inflation shocks from the past, the risks of premature celebrations are high!
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True Insights
The Weekly Market Monitor – The ECB’s unreasonable hike, Saudi Arabia in Control, the UK falling into recession, and a China resurrection?
Markets got a dovish ECB hike but wrapped in a highly conflicting message, and one that will likely qualify as a policy mistake in hindsight.
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True Insights
Saudi Arabia is now in charge of the Federal Reserve
Whether the Fed hikes again now largely depends on oil and energy prices, outside Powell's span of control.
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True Insights
The growing central bank dilemma and the FX trade that goes with it
The UK has entered stagflation, meaning the Bank of England must choose where to aim monetary policy, growth or inflation.
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True Insights
This is how we look at Sentiment!
Our investment framework consists of three major pillars: Macro, Sentiment, and Valuation.
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True Insights
Jeroen Blokland / True Insights Investment Research
Jeroen Blokland / True Insights Investment Research
Jeroen Blokland's 'True Insights' is your leading source for navigating and understanding financial markets, generating and implementing trade ideas, building robust and diversified portfolios, and growing your performance.

Jeroen Blokland / True Insights Investment Research

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